Warrant·Check

Submission Pursuant to Commission Regulation 40.2(a)

Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC · received by the CFTC 16 October 2026 · the filing (PDF)

Summary

Warrant Check read 6 operative provisions in this filing. Across them, 12 of 36 checks are present, 13 partial and 11 absent. 1 provision has every check present. 1 statement the exchange makes to the CFTC about the filing itself (such as that it complies with the Act) is not contract terms and is left out. 1 rule on who may trade is not a settlement term and is left out.

12 present13 partial11 absent

What the wording addresses

What the wording leaves open

Every provision read

Payment Criterion / Settlement on Margin

“Payment Criterion ... encompasses the Expiration Value where the Bulls win by more than 6 points”

Determination: That the Bulls' official final margin of victory exceeds 6 points · Consequence: Expiration Value set to Yes/No, triggering payment of Settlement Value to long or short position holders

Present Independent Verification. Evidence is the officially reported final score from a named hierarchy of Source Agencies (NBA.com, ESPN, etc.), a receivable third-party record.
Present Suitable Method. A final box score is sufficient to compute the margin claimed; arithmetic comparison matches the precision asserted.
Present Defined Benchmark. 'More than 6 points' is a defined numeric threshold, with explicit tie/loss treatment.
Present Conclusive Link. Meeting the stated margin directly and completely establishes the Payment Criterion as defined.
Present Comprehensive Coverage. Evidence (final official score) covers the entire game, matching the claim's scope (whole-game result).
Present Relevant Timeline. Expiration Value is fixed to the Underlying as documented at a defined Expiration Date/Time, matching the single-event obligation period.

Source Agency Hierarchy & 'Clearly Erroneous' Override

“unless the Exchange, in its sole discretion, determines such result to be clearly erroneous”

Determination: That a reported result is 'clearly erroneous' and should be displaced by a corrected result · Consequence: The Exchange substitutes a different reported result as the operative final result for settlement

Absent Independent Verification. The override determination rests on the Exchange's own sole discretion, not on any named third-party evidence or procedure.
Absent Suitable Method. Unstructured sole discretion cannot reliably establish the specific factual claim ('clearly erroneous') at any defined certainty.
Absent Defined Benchmark. 'Clearly erroneous' is not defined by any objective criteria or threshold.
Absent Conclusive Link. no named standard - entailment cannot be assessed
Partial Comprehensive Coverage. Applies only to the specific game's reported result, but which reports are reviewable is not bounded.
Partial Relevant Timeline. Correction must occur 'prior to Expiration,' a bound exists but the review window itself is undefined.

Abandoned/Cancelled/Not Scheduled Game Resolution

“resolve based on the last fair market price as determined by the Exchange”

Determination: That the game was abandoned, cancelled, or not (re)scheduled before the Expiration Time · Consequence: Contract settles at a fair market price (not the outcome-based Payment Criterion)

Partial Independent Verification. Fair market price is 'determined by the Exchange' pursuant to Rule 7.2, whose content is not provided; the Exchange is itself the evidentiary source.
Partial Suitable Method. Cannot assess whether Rule 7.2's method can establish a price with the precision asserted, since the rule text is absent.
Partial Defined Benchmark. A standard is named (DCM Rule 7.2) but its content, and thus its threshold, is not supplied in this text.
Partial Conclusive Link. Cannot confirm whether satisfying Rule 7.2's procedure would establish a legitimate fair market price absent the rule's text.
Present Comprehensive Coverage. Applies to the entire game/event being abandoned or uncancelled, matching the claim's scope.
Present Relevant Timeline. Trigger is bounded by 'before the Expiration Time,' matching the obligation period.

Suspended Game Not Resumed Resolution

“does not resume from the point of suspension before the Expiration Time”

Determination: That the suspended game did not resume before Expiration Time and no final result was declared · Consequence: Contract settles at fair market price per DCM Rule 7.2, rather than by game outcome

Partial Independent Verification. Relies on the Exchange's own determination of fair market price under Rule 7.2, text of which is not supplied.
Partial Suitable Method. Cannot verify the procedure's capability to establish a defensible price absent Rule 7.2's content.
Partial Defined Benchmark. Standard named (Rule 7.2) but undefined in the supplied text.
Partial Conclusive Link. Entailment between meeting Rule 7.2 and a valid settlement price cannot be confirmed without its text.
Present Comprehensive Coverage. Covers the entire suspended game, matching claim scope.
Present Relevant Timeline. Bounded explicitly by 'before the Expiration Time.'

Delayed/Unavailable Result - Sole Discretion Resolution

“it may resolve the Contract in its sole discretion”

Determination: That the official match result remains delayed or unavailable beyond the 24-hour wait period · Consequence: The Exchange resolves the Contract by its own unguided discretion

Absent Independent Verification. Resolution is based purely on the Exchange's sole discretion; no named evidence, test, or third-party procedure.
Absent Suitable Method. Undefined discretionary action cannot establish any specific factual claim at a checkable level of certainty.
Absent Defined Benchmark. No threshold or methodology is named for how the Exchange must resolve the contract.
Absent Conclusive Link. no named standard - entailment cannot be assessed
Absent Comprehensive Coverage. No defined population or data source the discretionary resolution must draw from.
Partial Relevant Timeline. The 24-hour waiting period is defined, but the resolution step itself has no time or evidentiary constraint.

Disqualification/Ineligibility/Vacated Result

“disqualified, deemed ineligible, or have the result ... vacated”

Determination: That the Bulls were disqualified, deemed ineligible, or had the result vacated after the match started · Consequence: The market resolves to 'No' for the Bulls regardless of on-court outcome

Partial Independent Verification. No specific reporting source or document is named for confirming disqualification/vacatur, unlike the Source Agency hierarchy used for scores.
Partial Suitable Method. No defined procedure is specified for verifying this occurrence, only the bare triggering condition.
Absent Defined Benchmark. No threshold or defined criteria for what counts as 'disqualified,' 'ineligible,' or 'vacated.'
Absent Conclusive Link. no named standard - entailment cannot be assessed
Present Comprehensive Coverage. Applies to the whole game outcome for the Bulls, matching the claim's scope.
Present Relevant Timeline. Bounded to 'after the match has started but before the Contract expires.'

Read 31 October 2026 with Warrant Check (instrument 1.0). Labels: Present, Partial, Absent describe whether each check is found in the wording as written.

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